RESEARCH
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SELECTIVE TREND · RESEARCH MODEL

Volatility Breakout

Selective directional allocation that requires multiple conditions before taking risk.
EXPLORATORY
NET RETURN+22.1%AFTER MODELED COSTS
ANNUALIZED+45.6%SHORT SAMPLE
MAX DRAWDOWN-6.5%PEAK TO TROUGH
SHARPE1.75DAILY · ANNUALIZED
NET EQUITY CURVE$12.2K
START $10K · AFTER MODELED COSTS
Mar 15, 2026Sep 25, 2026

Anchored walk-forward

FIXED RULES · TEMPORAL STABILITY
4 CHRONOLOGICAL TEST FOLDS
COMPOUNDED TEST RETURN+11.3%
MEDIAN FOLD-0.1%
POSITIVE FOLDS50%
WORST FOLD DD-2.0%
FoldTrain throughTest windowReturnMax DDSharpe
01Jun 12, 2026Jun 13, 2026 – Jul 7, 2026+0.8%-0.7%2.83
02Jul 7, 2026Jul 8, 2026 – Aug 1, 2026-0.9%-0.9%-7.71
03Aug 1, 2026Aug 2, 2026 – Aug 26, 2026+12.7%-2.0%4.25
04Aug 26, 2026Aug 27, 2026 – Sep 20, 2026-1.1%-1.8%-3.30
This is a temporal-stability check for fixed rules, not an untouched future holdout or live performance.

Month by month

NET RETURNS
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20260.0%-1.5%+5.6%+6.4%-0.2%+11.8%-1.2%+22.1%

Research profile

PUBLIC SUMMARY
Markets
BTC · ETH · SOL · HYPE · XRP · DOGE · SUI · LINK
Data frequency
1d completed bars
Rebalance profile
Every closed bar
Modeled volume
$215.5K
Trading costs
$258.6
Funding impact
$73.3

Methodology boundary

WHAT IS PUBLIC

The model thesis, markets, costs and outputs are disclosed. Signal code, parameters, position logic and implementation details remain server-side.

  • Current active-market universe introduces survivorship bias.
  • Daily bars; no intraday execution or order-book capacity model.
  • No liquidation, partial-fill or tax model.
  • Anchored fixed-rule walk-forward measures temporal stability but is not an untouched future holdout after product selection.

STRATEGY SETUP

Configure strategy

Private draft. Saving does not sign or execute anything; venue authorization is a separate explicit step.
NOT CONFIGURED
Research only. Past simulated performance does not guarantee future results. Saving a draft grants no wallet or order authority.